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基于自激点过程的恐怖活动建模研究

徐致靖 祖正虎 许晴 张文斗 郑涛

军事医学2012,Vol.36Issue(10):750-753,4.
军事医学2012,Vol.36Issue(10):750-753,4.

基于自激点过程的恐怖活动建模研究

Modeling terrorist activities with self-exciting point process

徐致靖 1祖正虎 1许晴 1张文斗 1郑涛1

作者信息

  • 1. 军事医学科学院生物工程研究所,北京100071
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摘要

Abstract

Spurred by separatism and ultra-nationalism, terrorism has been greatly intensified over the past few years and is being a serious threat both to homeland security and civilians' personal safety, which lends special significance to the analysis of terrorist attack patterns. In this paper, we studied the time series of terrorist attacks in several countries since 1970 and modeled the temporal distribution with a self-exciting point process( Hawkes process). Our study will be an important reference for anti-terrorism efforts.

关键词

恐怖活动/自激点过程/时间分布

Key words

terrorism/self-exciting point process/temporal distribution

分类

军事科技

引用本文复制引用

徐致靖,祖正虎,许晴,张文斗,郑涛..基于自激点过程的恐怖活动建模研究[J].军事医学,2012,36(10):750-753,4.

军事医学

OA北大核心CSCDCSTPCD

1674-9960

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