生物灾害科学Issue(3)：337-341,5.
甘肃临夏高寒地区春玉米螟动态气候预测模型
The Model of Climate Prediction Dynamic of Corn Borer in High Cold Regions in Linxia of Gansu Province
摘要
Abstract
Based on meteorological data including temperature, precipitation and sunshine in Linxia Prefecture in 1990-2000, using the multiple regression method, the present paper analyzed the main meteorological factors resulted in outbreak of the corn borer under two kinds of different climate background, e.i., drought and dank in the alpine area. The model for prediction of corn borer population dynamics was established according to different climate planting areas. After testing the model, it was confirmed that occurrence of the corn borer had a direct relationship with the local climate condition, and accurate rate of predicting the early and late occurrence of the insects reached to more than 70%.关键词
玉米螟/动态气候/预测模型Key words
corn borer/population dynamic/climate/prediction model分类
农业科技引用本文复制引用
孙玉莲..甘肃临夏高寒地区春玉米螟动态气候预测模型[J].生物灾害科学,2012,(3):337-341,5.基金项目
甘肃省自然科学基金项目 （）
