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基于故障树—蒙特卡洛方法的动车组可靠性分析

胡川 姚建伟

中国铁道科学2012,Vol.33Issue(z1):52-59,8.
中国铁道科学2012,Vol.33Issue(z1):52-59,8.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1001-4632.2012.S1.09

基于故障树—蒙特卡洛方法的动车组可靠性分析

Reliability Analysis for Electric Multiple Units Based on Fault Tree Monte Carlo Method

胡川 1姚建伟1

作者信息

  • 1. 中国铁道科学研究院铁道科学技术研究发展中心,北京100081
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摘要

Abstract

The fault trees of the CRH2 EMU system as well as its subsystems of running, traction drive, braking, high voltage apparatus, auxiliary power supply and network control were established. On that basis, Monte Carlo method and MATLAB software were applied to simulate and analyze the reliability of the EMU. The results indicate that, Monte Carlo simulation method which is based on fault tree analysis, can rapidly and accurately calculate the reliability of the whole EMU. If the fault probabilities of EMU various basic components obey exponential distribution, then does the fault probability of the whole EMU system. The three most important partial systems of the EMU are, in order, the air supply partial system, the grounding protection switch and high voltage equipment box partial system and traction drive partial system.

关键词

动车组/可靠性/故障树/蒙特卡洛方法

Key words

Multiple units/ Reliability/ Fault tree/ Monte Carlo method

分类

交通工程

引用本文复制引用

胡川,姚建伟..基于故障树—蒙特卡洛方法的动车组可靠性分析[J].中国铁道科学,2012,33(z1):52-59,8.

中国铁道科学

OA北大核心CSCDCSTPCD

1001-4632

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