计算机与现代化Issue(12)：178-183,6.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1006-2475.2012.12.046
基于D-S证据理论的MIS项目风险评估模型研究
Research on Risk Evaluation Model of MIS Project Based on D-S Evidence Theory
摘要
Abstract
This paper analyses the analyses, design and implementation three stages of the process of software development, from the three aspects of technology, cost, schedule of MIS project risk. Achieves the answers given by the MIS project developers on the basis of knowledge, experience, preferences, collects the greater risk indicators in each factor. Makes use of the theory of D-S evidence fuse according to the assurance given by experts on the risk indicators of risk probability and risk loss. Finally, gets a comprehensive evaluation of risk for the MIS project. An example illustrates the validity for the MIS evaluation of risk.关键词
证据理论/MIS项目/风险评价/软件项目Key words
evidence theory/ MIS project/ evaluation of risk/ software project分类
管理科学引用本文复制引用
李鹏,王琛..基于D-S证据理论的MIS项目风险评估模型研究[J].计算机与现代化,2012,(12):178-183,6.基金项目
国家自然科学基金资助项目(70971124) （70971124）
住房和城乡建设部科技计划资助项目(2010-R3-13) （2010-R3-13）
中国博士后科学基金资助项目(20090450058,201003164) （20090450058,201003164）
中国煤炭工业协会科学技术研究指导性计划资助项目(MTKJ2010-412) （MTKJ2010-412）
