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1960-2009年中国年降水量的年际及年代际变化特征

孙秀博 李清泉 魏敏

气象2012,Vol.38Issue(12):1464-1472,9.
气象2012,Vol.38Issue(12):1464-1472,9.

1960-2009年中国年降水量的年际及年代际变化特征

Analysis on Interannual and Interdecadal Variability of Annual Rainfall over China During 1960--2009

孙秀博 1李清泉 2魏敏3

作者信息

  • 1. 中国气象科学研究院,北京100081 国家气候中心,中国气象局气候研究开放实验室,北京100081
  • 2. 国家气候中心,中国气象局气候研究开放实验室,北京100081
  • 3. 国家气象信息中心,北京100081
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Based on the rainfall data from meteorological observation stations in China from 1960 to 2009, the multi-time scale complex construction and notably regional differences of annual precipitation variabili- ty have been revealed and the precipitation changes in the future also projected according to the interdec- adal period. The fluctuant energy of annual precipitation in the northern part of China is larger, and so is the contribution of interannual variation. However, the reality in the southern part of China is reverse. Unlike other regions, the interdecadal variabilities of annual precipitation in the Northeast China and Northwest China are remarkable and in the same phase. At present, the contribution of interdecadal varia- bilities to the annual precipitation in Northeast China, Northwest China, South China, Tibetan Plateau, and Southwest is in decreasing phase, and tends to keep on going down in the future 5--10 years. Howev- er it is in the ascendant phase and tends to keep on rising in the future 5--10 years in the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River.

关键词

Morlet小波/年降水量/年际变化/年代际变化

分类

天文与地球科学

引用本文复制引用

孙秀博,李清泉,魏敏..1960-2009年中国年降水量的年际及年代际变化特征[J].气象,2012,38(12):1464-1472,9.

基金项目

国家重点基础研究发展计划(2012CB955203)、国家高技术研究发展计划(2010AA012403和2010AA012404)、公益性行业(气象)科研专项(GYHY201106022)和国家自然科学基金(41175065)共同资助 ()

气象

OA北大核心CSCDCSTPCD

1000-0526

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