首页|期刊导航|中国海洋湖沼学报（英文版）|Response of the South China Sea summer monsoon onset to air-sea heat fluxes over the Indian Ocean
中国海洋湖沼学报（英文版）2012，Vol.30Issue(6)：974-979,6.
Response of the South China Sea summer monsoon onset to air-sea heat fluxes over the Indian Ocean
Response of the South China Sea summer monsoon onset to air-sea heat fluxes over the Indian Ocean
摘要
Abstract
We objectively define the onset date of the South China Sea (SCS) summer monsoon,after having evaluated previous studies and considered various factors.Then,interannual and interdecadal characteristics of the SCS summer monsoon onset are analyzed.In addition,we calculate air-sea heat fluxes over the Indian Ocean using the advanced method of CORARE3.0,based on satellite remote sensing data.The onset variation cycle has remarkable interdecadal variability with cycles of 16 a and 28 a.Correlation analysis between air-sea heat fluxes in the Indian Ocean and the SCS summer monsoon indicates that there is a remarkable lag correlation between them.This result has important implications for prediction of the SCS summer monsoon,and provides a scientific basis for further study of the onset process of this monsoon and its prediction.Based on these results,a linear regression equation is obtained to predict the onset date of the monsoon in 2011 and 2012.The forecast is that the onset date of 2011 will be normal or 1 pentad earlier than the normal year,while the onset date in 2012 will be 1-2 pentads later.关键词
South China Sea (SCS) summer monsoon onset/northern Indian Ocean/air-sea heat fluxes/predictionKey words
South China Sea (SCS) summer monsoon onset/northern Indian Ocean/air-sea heat fluxes/prediction引用本文复制引用
CHEN Jinnian,ZUO Tao,WANG Hongna..Response of the South China Sea summer monsoon onset to air-sea heat fluxes over the Indian Ocean[J].中国海洋湖沼学报（英文版）,2012,30(6):974-979,6.基金项目
Supported by the Knowledge Innovation Program of Chinese Academy of Sciences (No.KZCX2-YW-Q11-02) （No.KZCX2-YW-Q11-02）
