安徽农业科学2013，Vol.41Issue(3)：1299-1300,1307,3.
基于烟叶生产全程质量监控的烤烟产量预测
The Forecast of Tobacco Output Based on the Total Quality Control of Tobacco Production
摘要
Abstract
Using the flue-cured tobacco planting regionalization achievements, different ecological areas were selected to forecast tobacco output based on the total quality control of tobacco production system, which was targeted to forecast tobacco output more accurate and adjust purchase plan among Counties. Practice of three years presented that the difference between forecast value and actual value is 0.595 million kilograms, the relative error is 0.64% , the forecast value is close to the actual value. This method has good forecast effect and accuracy, which provides decision-making basis for adjusting the purchase plan in the late of tobacco production.关键词
烟叶生产/全程监控/产量预测Key words
Tobacco production/ Total control/ Output forecast分类
农业科技引用本文复制引用
王小彦,霍沁建,梁永江,唐远驹..基于烟叶生产全程质量监控的烤烟产量预测[J].安徽农业科学,2013,41(3):1299-1300,1307,3.基金项目
中国烟草总公司贵州省公司重点科技项目《烟叶生产全程质量监控体系研究与应用》(2008-9). （2008-9）
