大豆科学2013，Vol.32Issue(1)：80-83,4.
利用时间序列模型预测黑龙江省大豆的比较优势
Prediction for Soybean Comparative Advantage in Heilongjiang Province Based on Time Series Model
摘要
Abstract
According to the principle of time series and cropcomparative advantage,taking the yield and planting area of soybean in Heilongjiang province form 1985 to 2010 as the research objects. We established the time series prediction model of the comprehensively comparative advantage of soybean in Heilongjiang province. The results illustrated that from 2012 to 2017 the comparative advantage for soybean production in Heilongjiang province were 1.873,1.7323,1.7592,1.6106 and 1.6383, respectively. This proved the soybean production in Heilongjiang province had an advantage over national level,but the advantage showed a decreasing trend. We suggest that relevant agricultural departments should pay enough attention about this trend.关键词
大豆/时间序列模型/综合比较优势/预测模型Key words
Soybean/Time series model/Comparative advantage/Prediction model分类
管理科学引用本文复制引用
苗森,郑煜..利用时间序列模型预测黑龙江省大豆的比较优势[J].大豆科学,2013,32(1):80-83,4.基金项目
黑龙江省自然科学基金(G201117). （G201117）
