环境与职业医学2012，Vol.29Issue(11)：714-718,5.
建立大型活动公共卫生风险评估指标体系初探
Establishing a Public Health Risk Assessment Indicator System for Mass Gatherings
摘要
Abstract
[ Objective ] To identify public health hazards and related sources in mass gatherings and to select objective indicators for public health risk assessment. [ Methods ] A two-round Delphi consultation was conducted to establish a two-level indicator system. [ Results ] The indicator system for public health risk assessment of mass gatherings was constituted of 4 first-level and 17 second-level indicators. The first-level indicators were likelihood of public health incident, impact or result of incident, human vulnerability, and adaptive capacity. Risk was calculated according to the following formula: p(R)= k [ p(H) X p(V) ] -AC. After two rounds of consultation, the variation coefficients of necessity of all secondary indicators were less than 0.25; however, the variation coefficients of availability were found more than 0.25 in 9 sceondary indicators. [ Conclusion ] The risk assessment indicator system reduces the subjectivity of individual experts reviewing. The system has the potential to apply in a wider range of mass gatherings. The involvement of capacity to prevent and respond to public health incidents improves scientific assessments and practical actions.关键词
大型活动/公共卫生/风险评估/指标体系Key words
mass gathering/ public health/ risk assessment/ indicator system分类
医药卫生引用本文复制引用
孙晓冬,郭翔,董晨..建立大型活动公共卫生风险评估指标体系初探[J].环境与职业医学,2012,29(11):714-718,5.基金项目
上海市卫生局科研课题项目(编号:2009189) （编号:2009189）
