四川师范大学学报（自然科学版）2013，Vol.36Issue(1)：126-131,6.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1001-8395.2013.01.027
生态城市水资源承载力的系统动力学仿真
Systematic Dynamic Simulation of Water Resources Supporting Capacity of Ecological City
摘要
Abstract
The development of eco-city is constrained by water resource carrying capacity in every aspect. To build a systematic dynamic model according to the coupling association among water resources, social economic, population and ecological environment is a common method of analyzing the interrelationship constraint. By comparing with the actual data from 2005 to 2010, the model is proved to be effective. This article took Binhai New Area, the site location of Tianjin eco-city, as an example, to analysis on the water supply and demand trend and the water resource structure under five different modes. The results show that the water demand of economic development is the main reason of water shortages, and the integrated development model is the optimal choice. Local government should take measures to control the water demand of economic development, protect the potable water sources and develop non-conditional water resources.关键词
水资源承载力/系统动力学仿真/生态城市/滨海新区/可持续发展Key words
carrying capacity of water resources/ system dynamic simulation/ eco-city/ binhai New Area/ sustainable development分类
建筑与水利引用本文复制引用
佘思敏,胡雨村..生态城市水资源承载力的系统动力学仿真[J].四川师范大学学报（自然科学版）,2013,36(1):126-131,6.基金项目
国家水体污染控制与治理科技重大专项课题(2008ZX07314-005)资助项目 （2008ZX07314-005）
