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我国出口贸易中的载电量研究

谭显东 胡兆光 单葆国

中国电力2012,Vol.45Issue(8):88-92,5.
中国电力2012,Vol.45Issue(8):88-92,5.

我国出口贸易中的载电量研究

Study on Embodied Electricity in Exports of China

谭显东 1胡兆光 1单葆国1

作者信息

  • 1. 国网能源研究院,北京 100052
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

An uncompetilive input-output lable with 43 seclors is compiled according to three basic input-output tables published in China. An uncompetitive input-output model for analyzing embodied electricity in exports of China is established. The amounts of embodied electricity in China's exports of year 1997, 2002, and years from 2007 to 2010 are calculated based on the proposed model. The sensitivity analysis of impacts of exports change rate and structure change on embodied electricity is performed. The results show that the embodied declrieily in exports of China grew rapidly after entry into WTO. It reached about 1010.2 TWh in year 2007. For yeare from 2008 to 2010. The growth of embodied electricity slowed down apparently because of global economic crisis. The amount rif embodied electricity was around 1 058.2 TWh in 2010. A decline of one percent on exports leads to 0.8 percent of embodied electricity decrease and a decrease of 0.18 to 0.28 percent of total electricity consumption growth.

关键词

出口/载电量/非竞争型投入产出模型/敏感性分析

Key words

exports/ embodied electricity/ uncompetitive input-output model/ sensitivity analysis

分类

管理科学

引用本文复制引用

谭显东,胡兆光,单葆国..我国出口贸易中的载电量研究[J].中国电力,2012,45(8):88-92,5.

中国电力

OA北大核心CSCDCSTPCD

1004-9649

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