中国全科医学2013，Vol.16Issue(3)：326-328,3.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1007-9572.2013.01.107
石家庄市气象因素与手足口病流行的关系研究
Relationship between Meteorological Factors and Hand-foot-mouth Disease in Shijiazhuang
摘要
Abstract
Objective To study the relationship between meteorological factors and Hand - foot - mouth disease ( HFMD ) in Shijiazhuang in order to provide evidence for predicting the incidence of HFMD. Methods Data on meteorological factors ( temperature, dew point, barometric pressure, amount of precipitation and wind speed ) and HFMD from 2009 to 201 1 were collected. SPSS 17. 0 software was used to conduct correlation and regression analysis on meteorological factors and HFMD. Results The monthly average temperature was positively correlated with HFMD ( r= -0.614, P= 0.033 ); the monthly average barometric pressure was negatively correlated with HFMD ( r = - 0. 688 , P = 0. 013 ) . Dew point, amount of precipitation and wind speed showed no significant correlation with the incidence of HFMD ( P > 0. 05 ) . The average temperature ( X1 ), average dew point ( X2 ) and average barometric pressure ( X3) were selected into the multivariate linear- regression equation, and stepwise method was used to conduct multifactor analysis. The result showed that the regression equation was Y =247713. 701 -64.830X1 -33.988X2 -241.515X3, and it had statistical significance ( r = 0. 784 , R2=0.615, F = 8. 985 , P=0.013) .The linear dependence relationship between barometric pressure and HFMD showed statistical significance by filtering the display of the three independent variables ( P < 0. 05 ) . The linear dependence relationship between temperature, dew point and HFMD showed no statistical significance ( P > 0. 05 ) . Conclusion Meteorological factors are closely related to HFMD. Further discussion of the correlation between meteorological factors and HFMD can help establish pre - warning system for HFMD prevention.关键词
手足口病/气象因素/疾病暴发流行Key words
Hand, foot and mouth disease/Meteorological factor/Disease outbreaks分类
医药卫生引用本文复制引用
刘立,韩江涛,庞志钊,张世勇,郭建花..石家庄市气象因素与手足口病流行的关系研究[J].中国全科医学,2013,16(3):326-328,3.基金项目
中华预防医学会"公共卫生应用研究与疫苗可预防疾病科研资金"支持项目(20100303) （20100303）
河北省卫生厅科研基金项目(20120179) （20120179）
