气象研究与应用2012，Vol.33Issue(4)：10-13,21,5.
1949—2009年影响粤东沿海的热带气旋特征及最大强度计算
Tropical Cyclones Climate Characteristics and its Maximum Intensity Calculate of Eastern Guangdong Coastal Area during 1949-2009
摘要
Abstract
Basing the data of the tropical cyclones (TC) from 1949-2009, the climate characteristics of TC impacting eastern Guangdong coastal area were analyzed. The results show that, the TC is decreasing since 1982. The dominant direction of TC routes is WNW with the frequency of 36.9%. The proportion of Typhoon (Strong typhoon, super Strong typhoon) rises (declines) since 1982. The sequence of the extreme TC wind and the air pressure are also established. Then using the Pearson-Ⅲ probability distribution method, the maximum wind speed and minimum air pressure of the possible maximum tropical cyclones (PMTC) were calculated. It shows that the once-in-100-years maximum wind speed (air pressure) is 67.9 m/s (914.0 hPa) .关键词
粤东沿海/热带气旋/气候特征/最大强度Key words
eastern Guangdong coastal area/tropical cyclone/climate characteristics/maximumintensity分类
天文与地球科学引用本文复制引用
秦鹏,黄浩辉,李春梅..1949—2009年影响粤东沿海的热带气旋特征及最大强度计算[J].气象研究与应用,2012,33(4):10-13,21,5.基金项目
中国气象局CAMGJ2012210项目和广东省气象局2011805课题资助 （）
