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月动力延伸预报产品在新疆月尺度降水预测中的应用检验

段均泽 刘长征 白素琴

沙漠与绿洲气象2012,Vol.6Issue(6):61-64,4.
沙漠与绿洲气象2012,Vol.6Issue(6):61-64,4.

月动力延伸预报产品在新疆月尺度降水预测中的应用检验

Application and Test of Dynamic Extended Range Forecast Products to Monthly Precipitation Rolling Prediction in Xinjiang

段均泽 1刘长征 2白素琴1

作者信息

  • 1. 新疆气候中心,新疆乌鲁木齐830002
  • 2. 国家气候中心,北京100081
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Abstract:Based on monthly rainfall data during January, 2001-December, 2010 from 101 observatory stations in Xinjiang and the graphic data produced by monthly dynamic extended range forecast model from National Climate Center, the forecast experiment on the explanation and reanalysis of monthly dynamical extended range forecast products was carried out.In this paper the results of interpolation prediction were tested by methods of forecast score (Ps) and anomaly sign score. The results showed that the PS score of explanation and reanalysis method of dynamical

关键词

月动力延伸预报/月降水预测/检验

Key words

monthly dynamic extended range forecast/monthly precipitation forecast/test

分类

天文与地球科学

引用本文复制引用

段均泽,刘长征,白素琴..月动力延伸预报产品在新疆月尺度降水预测中的应用检验[J].沙漠与绿洲气象,2012,6(6):61-64,4.

基金项目

新疆气象局青年基金资助. ()

沙漠与绿洲气象

OACSTPCD

2097-6801

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