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考虑气候因子变化的湖泊富营养化模型研究进展

苏洁琼 王烜 杨志峰

应用生态学报2012,Vol.23Issue(11):3197-3206,10.
应用生态学报2012,Vol.23Issue(11):3197-3206,10.

考虑气候因子变化的湖泊富营养化模型研究进展

Lake eutrophication modeling in considering climatic factors change: A review

苏洁琼 1王烜 2杨志峰1

作者信息

  • 1. 北京师范大学环境学院水沙科学教育部重点实验室,北京100875
  • 2. 水环境模拟国家重点实验室,北京100875
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Climatic factors are considered as the key factors affecting the trophic status and its process in most lakes. Under the background of global climate change, to incorporate the variations of climatic factors into lake eutrophication models could provide solid technical support for the analysis of the trophic evolution trend of lake and the decision-making of lake environment management. This paper analyzed the effects of climatic factors such as air temperature, precipitation, sunlight, and atmosphere on lake eutrophication, and summarized the research results about the lake eutrophication modeling in considering climatic factors change, including the modeling based on statistical analysis, ecological dynamic analysis, system analysis, and intelligent algorithm. The prospective approaches to improve the accuracy of lake eutrophication modeling with the consideration of climatic factors change were put forward, including 1) to strengthen the analysis of the mechanisms related to the effects of climatic factors change on lake trophic status, 2) to identify the appropriate simulation models to generate several scenarios under proper temporal and spatial scales and resolutions , and 3) to integrate the climatic factors change simulation, hydrodynamic model, ecological simulation, and intelligent algorithm into a general modeling system to achieve an accurate prediction of lake eutrophication under climatic change.

关键词

气候因子变化/湖泊富营养化/模型

Key words

climatic factors change/ lake eutrophication/ modeling

分类

资源环境

引用本文复制引用

苏洁琼,王烜,杨志峰..考虑气候因子变化的湖泊富营养化模型研究进展[J].应用生态学报,2012,23(11):3197-3206,10.

基金项目

国家水体污染控制与治理科技重大专项(2008ZX07209-009)、国家创新群体项目(51121003)和国家科技支撑计划项目(2011BAC12B02)资助. (2008ZX07209-009)

应用生态学报

OA北大核心CSCDCSTPCDMEDLINE

1001-9332

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