中国人口·资源与环境2013,Vol.23Issue(4):111-116,6.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1002-2104.2013.04.019
碳排放与城市化关系的实证
Empirical Study on the Relationship Between Carbon Emission and Urbanization
摘要
Abstract
Climate change has become the focus of global environmental concern, its impact has been and is posing a serious threat to the natural world and human security. Carbon emission is a major factor causing climate warming. As a major source of global carbon emissions, cities became the first choice to mitigate global climate warming. This paper focuses on the relationship among climate change, carbon emissions and urbanization, and analyzes the relationship between urbanization rate and amounts of carbon emissions under the influence of global climate change. The results indicate that there is a stable long-run equilibrium relationship between them, the elastic coefficient of the China' s urbanization rate and amounts of carbon emissions is 1.643, it was deduced that the amounts of carbon emissions increased by 1.643% when urbanization rate increased by 1%. Granger causality shows that urbanization is carbon emissions Granger causality, but carbon emissions are not urbanization Granger causality. For addressing climate change, we consider that all types of cities must select an appropriate low-carbon development model on the basis of their features, promote advanced low-carbon technologies, optimize the industrial structure, and actively develop a low-carbon ecological path for carbon emissions.关键词
气候变化/城市化/碳排放/低碳Key words
climate change/ urbanization/ carbon emissions/ low-carbon分类
管理科学引用本文复制引用
关海玲,陈建成,曹文..碳排放与城市化关系的实证[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2013,23(4):111-116,6.基金项目
中国博士后科学基金项目"森林多功能利用及效益评价研究"(编号:20110490300) (编号:20110490300)
山西省教育厅高校哲学社会科学项目"低碳经济时代下山西都市农业科技创新研究"(编号:2012242). (编号:2012242)