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论自然灾害风险评估的途径

倪长健

灾害学2013,Vol.28Issue(2):1-5,5.
灾害学2013,Vol.28Issue(2):1-5,5.

论自然灾害风险评估的途径

Discussion on the Approaches of Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

倪长健1

作者信息

  • 1. 成都信息工程学院高原大气与环境四川省重点实验室,四川成都610225
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摘要

Abstract

Aimed at the basic problem of the approaches of natural disaster risk assessment and through deep analysis on natural disaster system, in this paper, our study can be summarized as following: Firstly, the hierarchy structure of natural disaster risk system is established, and the essence of each element is clarified; Secondly, based on the definition of natural disaster risk, that the risk of natural disasters is the uncertainty of future losses resulted from the evolution of the natural disaster system itself, for the first time three approaches of natural disaster risk assessment are proposed from the angle of structure elements, interaction mechanism and evolutionary result of natural disaster risk system respectively; Thirdly, foundation of each approach is systematically analyzed.

关键词

自然灾害系统/自然灾害风险系统/风险评估/途径

Key words

natural disaster system/ natural disaster risk system/ risk assessment/ approach

分类

资源环境

引用本文复制引用

倪长健..论自然灾害风险评估的途径[J].灾害学,2013,28(2):1-5,5.

基金项目

公益性行业(气象)科研专项(GYHY201006023) (气象)

灾害学

OA北大核心CSCDCSTPCD

1000-811X

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