水土保持研究2013，Vol.20Issue(2)：213-216,222,5.
基于EKC模型的河南省工业化、城镇化水平与耕地面积关系研究
Study on the Relation of Industrialization, Urbanization and Cultivated Land Area in He'nan Province Based on the EKC Model
摘要
Abstract
As the province producing grain, He'nan takes the responsibility of state food security. In the background of acceleration of industrialization and urbanization, it is very important to develop He'nan cultivated area change rule model to predict the pressure of cultivated land protection, promote the power of the cultivated land protection, ensure national food security and promote local economic development to contribute. Based on the literature, cubic environmental kuznets curve model of He nan province is constructed, fitted and predicted through Eviews software in order to analyze the relationship between industrialization, the urbanization and the cultivated land area. Data support the three dominant environmental kuznets curve correlation of proportion of urban population and cultivated land area. Therefore, the results show that the proportion of urban population of He'nan province ranges frim 19. 350% to 32. 149% , as the level of urbanization, the cultivated land area in He'nan province is improved. These periods are 1997-2006. Then proportion of the urban population is more than 32. 149% , cultivated land area in He'nan province reduces with the level of gradual urbanization. Cultivated land protection will be under a lot of pressure in the future. The rationalization of land renovation investment income mechanism can release pressure in part. At the same time, it is similar to the people to link up with policy that kind of system innovation can also make 'inverted U' type curve up. Reduction of cultivated land can be controlled completely within a period of time.关键词
工业化/城镇化/耕地/环境库兹涅茨曲线/河南省Key words
industrialization/ urbanization/ cultivated land/ EKC/ He'nan Province分类
管理科学引用本文复制引用
杨建云..基于EKC模型的河南省工业化、城镇化水平与耕地面积关系研究[J].水土保持研究,2013,20(2):213-216,222,5.基金项目
河南省政府决策研究招标课题(2012B694) （2012B694）
河南省高等学校人文社会科学研究项目(2012-GH-344) （2012-GH-344）
教育部人文社会科学研究规划基金项目(09YJA790187) （09YJA790187）
