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广义回归神经网络在乙肝发病数时间序列预测中的应用

杨德志

计算机应用与软件2013,Vol.30Issue(4):217-219,3.
计算机应用与软件2013,Vol.30Issue(4):217-219,3.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1000-386x.2013.04.062

广义回归神经网络在乙肝发病数时间序列预测中的应用

APPLICATION OF GENERAL REGRESSION NEURAL NETWORK IN HEPATITIS B INCIDENT CASES TIME SERIES FORECASTING

杨德志1

作者信息

  • 1. 辽东学院经济学院 辽宁丹东118001
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

To explore the practical value of general regression neural networks ( GRNN) in forecasting the incidence number of hepatitis B (HB) , we make use of HB incidence number information from statutory report of mainland of China from 2005 to 2011 and build respectively the GRNN model and the back propagation neural networks (BPNN) model. Results demonstrate that the mean average error (MAE), mean average percentage error (MAPE) and root mean square error (RMSE) of the values fitted and predicted by the GRNN are all lower than those obtained from BPNN. This result indicates that the GRNN has better applied value in forecasting the incidence of HB.

关键词

广义回归神经网络/乙肝/时间序列

Key words

General regression neural networks/ Hepatitis B/ Time series

分类

信息技术与安全科学

引用本文复制引用

杨德志..广义回归神经网络在乙肝发病数时间序列预测中的应用[J].计算机应用与软件,2013,30(4):217-219,3.

计算机应用与软件

OA北大核心CSCDCSTPCD

1000-386X

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