大地测量与地球动力学2013，Vol.33Issue(3)：116-120,5.
变形监测数据组合预测的串联与并联模式研究
ON MODEL AND FORECAST OF DEFORMATION MONITORING DATA BASED ON SERIES AND PARALLEL COMBINATION PREDICTION
摘要
Abstract
In order to improve the accuracy and reliability of forecasting deformation rnonitoring data,two kinds of combination prediction model structure,series combination (SC)and parallel combination (PC) are proposed.In the SC time series model,grey model and neural network to predict are separately used and then the predicting results are combined.In the PC the weight is used to combine different models,and the performance of the linear and non-linear weight combination forecast are compared.Finally,a practical prediction case in building safety monitoring forecast used to explain the method.According to the experimental results,the proposed SC and PC combined method obviously can improve the prediction accuracy and therefore can be applied to deformation data analysis.关键词
串联模式/并联模式/非线性权值/变形/组合预测Key words
series combination (SC) / parallel combination (PC) / non-linear weight/ deformation / combination prediction分类
天文与地球科学引用本文复制引用
高宁,高彩云..变形监测数据组合预测的串联与并联模式研究[J].大地测量与地球动力学,2013,33(3):116-120,5.基金项目
国家自然科学基金(41071328) （41071328）
