水利水电技术2013，Vol.44Issue(6)：17-21,5.
基于三次平衡理论的黄河流域水资源承载能力分析
Triple-balance theory based analysis on water resources carrying capacity of Yellow River Basin
摘要
Abstract
On the basis of the discussion on the relevant conception of the water resources carrying capacity,a water resources carrying capacity analysis platform with the core of the water resources carrying capacity computation model is established in accordance with the triple balance theory,and then the water resources carrying capacities of the Yellow River Basin in the years of 2005,2020 and 2030 are respectively analyzed herein.It is concluded that:(1) the water resources carrying capacity of the basin is quite limited,if based on the existing water supply mode; (2) through deeply tapping into the potential concerned,the local carrying capacity of the basin for the GDP can raise about 20％,if compared with the existing development and utilization mode therein ; (3) the water resources carrying capacity can be effectively enhanced,if diverting water from the outside of the basin.The study shows that the water resources carrying capacity of the Yellow River Basin can be significantly enhanced through deeply tapping into the potential and diverting water from the outside of the basin.关键词
三次平衡理论/水资源承载能力/黄河流域Key words
triple-balance theory/ water resources carrying capacity/ Yellow River Basin分类
水利科学引用本文复制引用
刘金华,汪党献,倪红珍,付意成,梁犁丽..基于三次平衡理论的黄河流域水资源承载能力分析[J].水利水电技术,2013,44(6):17-21,5.基金项目
水利部公益性行业科研专项(201001014) （201001014）
中国水利水电科学研究院"流域水循环模拟与调控国家重点实验室开放研究基金资助(IWHR-SKL-201212)". （IWHR-SKL-201212）
