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基于Stackelberg博弈模型的展会人员应急疏散问题

霍良安 黄培清 方星

系统管理学报2013,Vol.22Issue(3):425-430,6.
系统管理学报2013,Vol.22Issue(3):425-430,6.

基于Stackelberg博弈模型的展会人员应急疏散问题

The Model of Emergency Evacuation in Exhibition Based on Stackelberg Game

霍良安 1黄培清 2方星2

作者信息

  • 1. 上海理工大学管理学院,上海200093
  • 2. 上海交通大学安泰经济与管理学院,上海200052
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

As emergency haappens,the evacuation of personnel is a realistic and complicated problem.On one hand,emergency evacuation of unexpected disasters and accident is an effective means for reducing massive loss in accidents.On the other hand,due to the uncertainty of the external environment,and the whole process of emergency evacuation involves human being,the emergency evacuation is complex and changeable.Firstly,factors influencing an exhibition manager's options are analyzed.The cost and time of emergent evacuation are considered,and the negative utility function which satisfies a linear relationship between them is modeled for making of emergency strategies using system optimization (SO),and visitors' evacuation strategies is planned based on user equilibrium (UE).A Stackelberg game model is proposed and a plan for evacuation which would compromises the interests of both the manager and the visitors.The model is solved by combine Frank-Wolfe algorithm with genetic algorithm,and the key parameter is analyzed.The application results show that the model not only meets the transport demand,hut also achieves the minimum cost.

关键词

Stackelberg博弈/应急疏散/效用/展会/遗传算法

Key words

Stackelberg game/emergency evacuation/utility/exhibition/genetic algorithm(GA)

分类

信息技术与安全科学

引用本文复制引用

霍良安,黄培清,方星..基于Stackelberg博弈模型的展会人员应急疏散问题[J].系统管理学报,2013,22(3):425-430,6.

基金项目

国家自然科学基金资助项目(70732003,70772065) (70732003,70772065)

系统管理学报

OACSSCICSTPCD

2097-4558

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