中国机械工程2013，Vol.24Issue(11)：1500-1504,5.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1004-132X.2013.11.016
多台同型产品同步纠正可靠性增长试验数据统计分析方法研究
Research on Statistical Method of Reliability Growth Testing Data for Multi-systems with Synchronous Corrective Actions
摘要
Abstract
The values of reliability assessment based on the MIL-HDBK-189,GJB/Z77 and AMSAA-BISE model for the failure data would be greater than the actual values.Herein,the expectation of each time-to-failure was fist obtained by using the hierarchical Bayesian method and least squares estimation method.Then,the growth testing data was analyzed through a new model obtained by substituting the expectation for the time-to-failure in AMSAA model.The effects of the three statistical methods mentioned above were assessed based on the Monte Carlo method.The results indicate the values of reliability assessment by applying the method proposed are closer to the actual values.关键词
可靠性增长/AMSAA模型/AMSAA-BISE模型/多台同型产品/同步纠正/多层Bayes估计Key words
reliability growth/ AMSAA model / AMSAA-BISE model / multi-systems / synchronous corrective action/ hierarchical Bayesian estimation分类
航空航天引用本文复制引用
潘骏,靳方建,陈文华,王孟,许锐敏,朱旭洋..多台同型产品同步纠正可靠性增长试验数据统计分析方法研究[J].中国机械工程,2013,24(11):1500-1504,5.基金项目
国家自然科学基金资助项目(51075370,50935002,51105341) （51075370,50935002,51105341）
浙江省重点科技创新团队资助项目(2010R50005) （2010R50005）
