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全球和中国区域近50年气候变化检测归因研究进展

孙颖 尹红 田沁花 胡婷 石英 刘洪滨 周波涛

气候变化研究进展2013,Vol.9Issue(4):235-245,11.
气候变化研究进展2013,Vol.9Issue(4):235-245,11.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1673-1719.2013.04.001

全球和中国区域近50年气候变化检测归因研究进展

Recent Progress in Studies of Climate Change Detection and Attribution in the Globe and China in the Past 50 Years

孙颖 1尹红 1田沁花 1胡婷 1石英 1刘洪滨 1周波涛1

作者信息

  • 1. 中国气象局国家气候中心,北京100081
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

We reviewed recent studies about detection and attribution of climate change in the globe and China,with focus on the detection and attribution of temperature,precipitation and major extreme events changes since 1950s.The detection and attribution of historical climate change at a longer time scale are not considered in the paper.The investigation shows that there are very quick advance in the international field of detection and attribution.Many studies cover the field from the detection and attribution of temperature at global scale to regional scale,and from temperature to multi-variables.However,in China,the relevant study is still at an initial stage.Although some studies explore the physical reasons behind the dry North China and wet South China since 1970s,the detection and attribution studies based on statistical inference methods are still very little and need to be strengthened.Many important issues,such as the reasons for regional climate change,the contribution from various factors and their difference with those at global scale,are needed to answer.

关键词

检测归因/气候变化/全球尺度/区域尺度

Key words

detection and attribution/climate change/global scale/regional scale

引用本文复制引用

孙颖,尹红,田沁花,胡婷,石英,刘洪滨,周波涛..全球和中国区域近50年气候变化检测归因研究进展[J].气候变化研究进展,2013,9(4):235-245,11.

基金项目

气候变化专项(CCSF 201342) (CCSF 201342)

973项目(2012CB417205) (2012CB417205)

中国气象局气候研究开放实验室2012/2013年度开放青年基金 ()

气候变化研究进展

OA北大核心CSCDCSTPCD

1673-1719

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