电力系统及其自动化学报2013，Vol.25Issue(4)：7-13,7.
计及风电的发电系统可靠性评估
Reliability Assessment of Power Generation System Considering Wind Power Penetration
摘要
Abstract
The reliability of power generation system with Wind Power Penetration is evaluated based on Monte-Carlo simulation.In the reliability assessment,the prediction error randomness of wind speed and power load,failure rate of wind turbine generator and conventional generator are taken into account.Monte-Carlo simulation used in power generation system needs large sample size and has low efficiency.So the scattered sampling technique which divides the interval[0,1]into several sub-interval is applied to Monte-Carlo simulation.In each sub-interval,the system status need to be judged and indexed respectively.The scattered sampling technique is able to reduce sample times and enhance sampling efficiency.A simulation for power generation system with 10 conventional generators and 1 wind farm is carried out.The result verifies the adaptability and feasibility of the proposed evaluation strategy in generation system.关键词
蒙特卡洛仿真/可靠性评估/发电系统/分散抽样/风电场Key words
Monte-Carlo simulation/ reliability assessment/ power generation system/ scattered sampling technique/wind farm分类
信息技术与安全科学引用本文复制引用
蒋程,刘文霞,于雷,王昕伟,刘先正,刘军..计及风电的发电系统可靠性评估[J].电力系统及其自动化学报,2013,25(4):7-13,7.基金项目
国家高技术研究发展计划(863计划)项目(2012AA050201) （863计划）
