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基于地下水模型的岩溶塌陷风险性评价方法在临沂市城区的应用

雷晓东 邵景力 李娟 姚春梅 杨军

城市地质Issue(3):50-57,8.
城市地质Issue(3):50-57,8.

基于地下水模型的岩溶塌陷风险性评价方法在临沂市城区的应用

Application of Groundwater Model for Risk Assessment of Karst Collapse in Linyi City

雷晓东 1邵景力 2李娟 3姚春梅 1杨军4

作者信息

  • 1. 北京市地质勘察技术院,北京 102218
  • 2. 北京市华清地热开发有限责任公司,北京 102218
  • 3. 中国地质大学,北京100083
  • 4. 山东省地质环境监测总站,济南 250014
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

The karst collapse is the most important types of geological disasters in Linyi city of Shandong province. Once the occurrence of karst collapses, it may lead to greater economic and property losses, so it should be very necessary for risk control and prediction of karst collapse. Risk assessment includes current situation evaluation and forecast evaluation, mainly consists of three steps: hazard assessment, vulnerability assessment and expected loss evaluation. This paper adopts the fuzzy comprehensive evaluation based on AHP method in risk assessment firstly, then vulnerability assessment and expected loss evaluation is given, and a comprehensive assessment classification map of present situation is developed. The risk of karst collapse is predicted using the groundwater flow model with witch the relevant evaluation factor is determined by the adjusting groundwater pumping scheme. By comparison, the high risk area of karst collapse is greatly reduced through adjusting pumping scheme. It has important significance to prevent occurrence of karst collapse by the reasonable karst water pumping scheme with the combination of numerical model of groundwater flow and risk assessment methods.

关键词

岩溶塌陷/风险/地下水/临沂

Key words

Karst collapse/Risk/Groundwater/Linyi

分类

天文与地球科学

引用本文复制引用

雷晓东,邵景力,李娟,姚春梅,杨军..基于地下水模型的岩溶塌陷风险性评价方法在临沂市城区的应用[J].城市地质,2013,(3):50-57,8.

基金项目

国家重点基础研究发展规划“973项目” ()

城市地质

2097-3764

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