电测与仪表Issue(6)：34-38,5.
考虑多种影响因素的配电网运行风险评估
Distribution Network Operation Risk Assessment Considering Various Influencing Factors
摘要
Abstract
The frequent blackout caused by distribution network faults has sparked research on distribution system operation risks. For the continuous increase of operation risk influencing factors in the process of distribution network development, a risk assessment model considering various influencing factors of distribution network is proposed. In the model, a new method is adopted to calculate outage cost of distribution network, which reflects the comprehensive effect of interruption frequency, interruption duration and quantity of outage on the fault cost. The method can calculate outage cost better, and the distribution network risk assessment result is closer to actual situation. Finally, the Monte Carlo method is adopted to conduct the risk assessment of RBTS Bus-3, and the evaluation results are compared with those of analytical methods to verify the effectiveness of the method.关键词
配电网/风险评估/停电成本/蒙特卡罗法Key words
distribution network/risk assessment/outage cost/Monte Carlo method分类
信息技术与安全科学引用本文复制引用
苏海锋,姜小静,梁志瑞..考虑多种影响因素的配电网运行风险评估[J].电测与仪表,2014,(6):34-38,5.基金项目
中央高校科研业务项目 （）
