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基于元胞自动机的个体移动异质性传染病传播模型

谭欣欣 戴钦武 史鹏燕 王丽燕 刚家泰

大连理工大学学报Issue(6):908-914,7.
大连理工大学学报Issue(6):908-914,7.

基于元胞自动机的个体移动异质性传染病传播模型

CA-based epidemic propagation model with inhomogeneity and mobility

谭欣欣 1戴钦武 1史鹏燕 1王丽燕 1刚家泰1

作者信息

  • 1. 大连大学信息工程学院,辽宁大连 116622
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

An epidemic SEIR model with inhomogeneity and mobility is built based on the theory of cellular automata . The inhomogeneity in individuals′ behaviors is considered by assigning varying levels of infectivity and susceptibility .The distance of population movement will be limited and the percentage of population movement has been realized ,so random walk cellular automata is extended . The proposed model can be served as a basis to simulate real epidemics based on real data .According to the real data about influenza A (H1N1) ,the numerical simulation is realized .The results of simulation are very close to the practical data announced by the official .It is show n that the model is rational and valid . Further study is conducted on the effect of population movement on epidemic propagation .Compared with the max-distance of population movement ,the effect of the percentage of population movement is more sensitive ,and it can accelerate the spreading of the epidemic disease .

关键词

元胞自动机/异质性/移动性/甲型H1N1流感/随机行走元胞自动机

Key words

cellular automata/inhomogeneity/mobility/influenza A (H1N1)/random walk cellular automata

分类

数理科学

引用本文复制引用

谭欣欣,戴钦武,史鹏燕,王丽燕,刚家泰..基于元胞自动机的个体移动异质性传染病传播模型[J].大连理工大学学报,2013,(6):908-914,7.

基金项目

国家自然科学基金资助项目(71072161). ()

大连理工大学学报

OA北大核心CSCDCSTPCD

1000-8608

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