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某市春节负荷特性分析及预测方法应用研究

苏宜强

电力需求侧管理Issue(1):36-39,4.
电力需求侧管理Issue(1):36-39,4.

某市春节负荷特性分析及预测方法应用研究

Load characteristics analysis and load forecasting method at Spring Festival in some city

苏宜强1

作者信息

  • 1. 连云港供电公司,江苏 连云港 222004
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

The shape of the load curve during Spring Festi-val,especially New Year��s Eve in Lianyungang district, and its varying trend and characteristics are analyzed. An adaptive artifi-cial neural network model is proposed for Spring Festival,consider-ing the influence of whether, major event and historical load on the variation of load. This method forecasts the load by selecting week-end which is similar on human body amenity indicator, similar day over the past year, the day before. The results of calculation exam-ples show that this method is effective.

关键词

负荷特性/负荷预测/自适应神经网络/节假日

Key words

Load characteristics/Load forecasting/adaptive artificial neural network/Spring Festival/New Year s Eve

分类

信息技术与安全科学

引用本文复制引用

苏宜强..某市春节负荷特性分析及预测方法应用研究[J].电力需求侧管理,2014,(1):36-39,4.

电力需求侧管理

OACSTPCD

1009-1831

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