电网技术Issue(4)：974-979,6.DOI:10.13335/j.1000-3673.pst.2014.04.023
可再生能源配额制对我国电源结构的影响机理及效果研究
Impacting Mechanism of Renewable Portfolio Standard on China’s Power Source Structure and Its Effect
摘要
Abstract
ABSTRACT:To adjust China’s power source structure effectively, China executes renewable portfolio standard (RPS) policy in the period of the Twelfth Five-Year Plan. In this paper two partial equilibrium models for tradable green certificates (TGC) market and electricity market are established and the interaction mechanism between the two markets is analyzed, and the method of system dynamics is used to carry out the simulation and scenario analysis on the implementation of RPS from 2012 to 2020, and the impact of implementing RPS policy on China’s power source structure. Research results show that through stipulating compulsory quantity the demand on lowest green electricity can be ensured and it promotes the adjustment of China’s power source structure; the fluctuation of green certificates during the implementation of RPS is the result of concurrent market mechanism and government regulation; the higher the specified RPS is, the more difficult the equilibrium between interactive TGC market and electricity market will be, however the effect of adjusting power source structure will be more evident finally.关键词
可再生能源配额制/绿色证书/系统动力学/电源结构Key words
renewable portfolio standard (RPS)/tradable green certificates (TGC)/system dynamics/power source structure分类
信息技术与安全科学引用本文复制引用
赵新刚,冯天天,杨益晟..可再生能源配额制对我国电源结构的影响机理及效果研究[J].电网技术,2014,(4):974-979,6.基金项目
国家自然科学基金项目(71273088)。 （71273088）
