干旱地区农业研究Issue(5):136-141,250,7.
中宁县影响红枣产量的主要农业气象灾害分析
The analysis of main agro-meteorological disasters affecting on the productivity of red jujube at Zhongning County
摘要
Abstract
Through the analysis of meteorological data and yield of red jujube in the experimental station in Zhongn-ing County of Ningxia ,combined with the records of main agro-meteorological disasters ,it was discovered that there were mainly 5 kinds of agro-meteorological disasters affecting the productivity of red jujube ,i .e .,high temperature in sprout-ing and leaf expansion stage (B1 ) ,high temperature and low humidity in florescence stage (B2 ) ,continuous rain in flo-rescence stage (B3 ) ,continuous rain in fruit growing stage (B4 ) ,and continuous rain in maturity stage (B5 ) .The ana-lytic hierarchy process (AHP) was adopted for quantitative analysis of these disasters ,which indicated that the influenc-ing weight of different disasters to the production of red jujube was sequenced as B 5>B4>B2>B3>B1 .The trend yields were corrected so as to forecast the actual output of red jujube in different stages ,and to set up the models of dynamic forecast of productivity ,which could be used as references in actual forecasting activities .关键词
红枣/产量/农业气象灾害Key words
red jujube/productivity/agro-meteorological disasters分类
农业科技引用本文复制引用
段晓凤,戴小笠,张玉兰,官景德..中宁县影响红枣产量的主要农业气象灾害分析[J].干旱地区农业研究,2013,(5):136-141,250,7.基金项目
宁夏回族自治区科技厅科技攻关项目“枣树病虫害演变规律及预测预报和综合防控技术研究” ()