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宝鸡市用水结构及用水量预测分析

李琴 马耀光

干旱地区农业研究Issue(6):238-242,5.
干旱地区农业研究Issue(6):238-242,5.

宝鸡市用水结构及用水量预测分析

Analysis on structure and forecast of water consumption in Baoji City

李琴 1马耀光1

作者信息

  • 1. 西北农林科技大学水利与建筑工程学院,陕西 杨凌712100
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Based on 1996-201 1 water consumptions in Baoji City,the structure and trend of water comsuption has been analyzed in this paper,obtained five influencing factors through regression analysis,namely population,the first in-dustrial added value,industrial added value,farmer’s net income per capita and net income of urban resident per capi-ta .Taking the influencing factors as input layer,the agriculture,industrial and domestic water consumption as output layer,established the BP model and forecasted the water consumption of each industry from 2012 to 2020 in Baoji City. The results shown that:The water consumption of agriculture,industry and domestic life were 4.43,0.57 and 1 .31 hundred million m3,respectively.The effect of prediction was good with reliable accuracy.

关键词

用水结构/用水量预测/BP模型/宝鸡市

Key words

structure of water consumption/forecast of water consumption/BP model/Baoji City

分类

建筑与水利

引用本文复制引用

李琴,马耀光..宝鸡市用水结构及用水量预测分析[J].干旱地区农业研究,2013,(6):238-242,5.

基金项目

国家自然科学基金 ()

干旱地区农业研究

OA北大核心CSCDCSTPCD

1000-7601

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