干旱地区农业研究Issue(2)：228-233,256,7.
基于 PSO - PPE 模型的和田水资源承载力评价研究
Evaluation Research for the Carrying Capacity of Water Resources in Hetian Based on the PSO - PPE Model
摘要
Abstract
In order to quantitatively evaluate the carrying capacity of water resources in Hetian Prefecture ,guide the cooperative development of the water resources with the society ,economy and ecological system in this region ,this paper starts from the compound system of water resources-society-ecological environment ,establish the evaluation indexed sys-tem for the carrying capacity of water resources with the regional characteristics .Then using the PSO-PPE model based on the particle swarm optimization ,and analyzed the indexes which has a significant effect combined with the regression analysis method .The results showed that :The carrying capacity of water resources in Hetian was the class II within the eight years ,it belonged to the situation of weak and less pressure ,reflected that carrying capacity of water resources in the region can be met the current social economic developing requirement .But it does not indicate that this region isn’t belong to the water-scarce areas ;Among them the height and lowness of the water resource per capita ,the development and utilization rate of water resources ,the urbanization rate have the rather high impact to the size of the evaluation value for the carrying capacity of water resources .Judging from the long-term development planning ,it needs to combine with the characteristics of the oasis development in arid areas ,to draw up the scientific and rational water resources manage-ment and utilization measures to ensure the sustainable development of the water resources and socio-economy .关键词
水资源承载力/PSO - PPE 模型/和田Key words
carrying capacity of water resources/PSO - PPE model/Hetian Prefecture分类
农业科技引用本文复制引用
吴雪梅,塔西甫拉提・特依拜,买买提・沙吾提,张飞..基于 PSO - PPE 模型的和田水资源承载力评价研究[J].干旱地区农业研究,2014,(2):228-233,256,7.基金项目
国家自然科学基金重点基金联合项目（U1138303）；教育部长江学者和创新团队项目 （）
