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基于AR模型的建筑物沉降预测

朱军桃 李朋成

桂林理工大学学报Issue(1):85-88,4.
桂林理工大学学报Issue(1):85-88,4.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1674-9057.2014.01.014

基于AR模型的建筑物沉降预测

Subsidence prediction of buildings based on AR model

朱军桃 1李朋成2

作者信息

  • 1. 桂林理工大学测绘地理信息学院,广西 桂林 541004
  • 2. 桂林理工大学广西空间信息与测绘重点实验室,广西 桂林 541004
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

In order to cope with multiple collinearity problems of traditional regression model,due to the inde-pendent variables selection in the subsidence prediction for tall buildings,a time sequence (AR)model based on FPE to set the order is proposed.The subsidence of a farmers market in Guilin is the case in our research. The autocorrelation function and partial correlation function are used to determine and identify the model,and FPE order criteria is also used to determine the model order.On the basis of modeling analysis and observed buildings data,in a high predicted accuracy the mean square error is 0.055 6,and overcomes the problems in traditional regression model with a practical value.

关键词

时间序列/AR模型/建筑物沉降/预测

Key words

time series/AR model/subsidence of buildings/prediction

分类

建筑与水利

引用本文复制引用

朱军桃,李朋成..基于AR模型的建筑物沉降预测[J].桂林理工大学学报,2014,(1):85-88,4.

基金项目

国家自然科学基金项目 ()

桂林理工大学学报

OA北大核心CSTPCD

1674-9057

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