| 注册
首页|期刊导航|工业技术经济|基于VEC模型的中国服务贸易与货物贸易增长实证研究

基于VEC模型的中国服务贸易与货物贸易增长实证研究

朱福林

工业技术经济Issue(12):101-107,7.
工业技术经济Issue(12):101-107,7.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1004-910X.2013.12.015

基于VEC模型的中国服务贸易与货物贸易增长实证研究

An Eempirical Research on Growth of Trade in Service and Goods Based on VEC model

朱福林1

作者信息

  • 1. 北京联合大学,北京 100000
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Foreign trade is a major “engine” in the process of economic growth in China , of which a strong relations between trade in service and trade in goods is highly concerned . This paper selects data from UNCTAD and makes an empirical study on their relations by methods of cointegration and vector error correction model (VEC ) . The conclusion is that trade in services and trade in goods have a long-term stable cointegration relationship , and they are mutually Granger caused , which further confirmed that trade in goods and trade in services enjoys a complementary and mutually reinforcing linkage .

关键词

服务贸易/货物贸易/协整/VEC

Key words

trade in service/trade in goods/cointegration/VEC

分类

管理科学

引用本文复制引用

朱福林..基于VEC模型的中国服务贸易与货物贸易增长实证研究[J].工业技术经济,2013,(12):101-107,7.

工业技术经济

OA北大核心CHSSCDCSSCI

1004-910X

访问量0
|
下载量0
段落导航相关论文