工业技术经济Issue(12):101-107,7.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1004-910X.2013.12.015
基于VEC模型的中国服务贸易与货物贸易增长实证研究
An Eempirical Research on Growth of Trade in Service and Goods Based on VEC model
摘要
Abstract
Foreign trade is a major “engine” in the process of economic growth in China , of which a strong relations between trade in service and trade in goods is highly concerned . This paper selects data from UNCTAD and makes an empirical study on their relations by methods of cointegration and vector error correction model (VEC ) . The conclusion is that trade in services and trade in goods have a long-term stable cointegration relationship , and they are mutually Granger caused , which further confirmed that trade in goods and trade in services enjoys a complementary and mutually reinforcing linkage .关键词
服务贸易/货物贸易/协整/VECKey words
trade in service/trade in goods/cointegration/VEC分类
管理科学引用本文复制引用
朱福林..基于VEC模型的中国服务贸易与货物贸易增长实证研究[J].工业技术经济,2013,(12):101-107,7.