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人民币汇率、资产价格与短期国际资本流动--基于汇率弹性区间调整前后的实证研究

闫涛

经济与管理Issue(9):49-54,6.
经济与管理Issue(9):49-54,6.

人民币汇率、资产价格与短期国际资本流动--基于汇率弹性区间调整前后的实证研究

RMB Exchange Rate, Asset Prices and Short-term International Capital Flows Based---Based on the Empirical Study on Two Periods Before and After the Reform Exchange Rate System

闫涛1

作者信息

  • 1. 南开大学 哲学院,天津 300071
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

This article is based on July 2005 to December 2012 monthly data, the VAR model in two stages using empirical analysis of the RMB exchange rate, asset prices and short-term international capital flows of the dynamic relationship between. The empirical results show that the appreciation of the RMB exchange rate will lead to short-term international capital into our country;floating band of RMB against the U.S. dollar trading space to expand, the short-term international capital flows, their explanatory power accounted for 82%. In order to better cope with the impact of short-term international capital flows, China must strengthen the supervision on short-term capital flows and review, and gradually form a mechanism of the RMB exchange rate flexibility.

关键词

人民币汇率/资产价格/短期国际资本流动/VAR模型

Key words

RMB exchange rate/Asset prices/Short-term international capital flows/VAR model

分类

管理科学

引用本文复制引用

闫涛..人民币汇率、资产价格与短期国际资本流动--基于汇率弹性区间调整前后的实证研究[J].经济与管理,2013,(9):49-54,6.

经济与管理

OACHSSCDCSSCI

1003-3890

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