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基于证据理论的群组DEMATEL改进方法

李亚群 段万春 孙永河 杜元伟

计算机工程与应用Issue(20):9-14,39,7.
计算机工程与应用Issue(20):9-14,39,7.DOI:10.3778/j.issn.1002-8331.1304-0346

基于证据理论的群组DEMATEL改进方法

Improved group DEMATEL approach based on evidence theory

李亚群 1段万春 1孙永河 1杜元伟1

作者信息

  • 1. 昆明理工大学 管理与经济学院,昆明 650093
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摘要

Abstract

In group DEMATEL procedures, how to incorporate expert opinion reasonably is an important technology core for ensuring the effectiveness of group decision making. However, there are some drawbacks in existing literature. Not only the inte-grated mechanism of expert opinion is unclear, but also the way of single expert judgment has some subjectivity and arbitrary. To overcome the above disadvantages, an improved group DEMATEL approach based on evidence theory is presented by over-viewing the traditional group DEMATEL method and systematically analyzing its drawbacks. There are two advantages in the improved approach. On the one hand it reflects the uncertainly of expert opinion with confidence belief function, and effectively integrates group expert opinion with Dempster’s combination rule, on the other hand it realizes expert evidence information interaction according to the thought of overall judgment. The improved approach is validated to be reasonable and would be well applied to solve the real world problems.

关键词

群组决策试验与评价实验室(DEMATEL)/证据理论/基本可信度分配/Dempster组合规则

Key words

group Decision Making Trial and Evaluation Laboratory(DEMATEL)/evidence theory/confidence belief func-tion/Dempster’s combination rule

分类

自科综合

引用本文复制引用

李亚群,段万春,孙永河,杜元伟..基于证据理论的群组DEMATEL改进方法[J].计算机工程与应用,2013,(20):9-14,39,7.

基金项目

国家自然科学基金(No.71263031);教育部人文社会科学研究青年基金(No.10XJA630002)。 ()

计算机工程与应用

OACSCDCSTPCD

1002-8331

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