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基于 Markov模型的土地利用类型面积变化的研究

彭敏 冉瑞平

江西农业学报Issue(1):121-124,4.
江西农业学报Issue(1):121-124,4.

基于 Markov模型的土地利用类型面积变化的研究

Research on Changes in Area of Various Land Use Types Based on Markov Model

彭敏 1冉瑞平1

作者信息

  • 1. 四川农业大学 经济管理学院,四川 成都 611130
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

According to the status map of land use in Wenjiang district of Chengdu city during 2005 ~2010, using Markov model on ArcGis platform , we predicted the area changes of various land use types in this district in the years 2015, 2020 and 2025.The results show that:in the future over ten years, the area of cultivated land will decrease gradually , and the area of urban and rural construction land will increase gradually;in comparison with the area of land use in the year 2010, the area of cultivated land will decrease by 38.12%, and the area of urban and rural construction land will increase by 53.23%in the year 2025.

关键词

土地利用类型/结构/Markov模型

Key words

Land use type/Structure/Markov model

分类

管理科学

引用本文复制引用

彭敏,冉瑞平..基于 Markov模型的土地利用类型面积变化的研究[J].江西农业学报,2014,(1):121-124,4.

江西农业学报

OACSTPCD

1001-8581

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