农机化研究Issue(2)：44-47,4.
黑龙江省农业机械总动力预测分析--基于 ARIMA 模型
Predict and Analysis of Agricultural Machinery Total Power of Heilongjiang Province-Based on ARIMA Model
摘要
Abstract
This paper applies statistical data from 1980 to 2011 of Heilongjiang Province,to analyze agricultural machinery total power by establishing ARIMA model of Heilongjiang Province .The result shows that ARIMA model not only suit the character of no steady time series of agricultural machinery total power , but also provides ideal forecastef-fect.ARIMA(0,2,1) model forecasts the mean percent error between numerical number and actual numerical number from 1980 to 2011 which has 2 .87%, it can be used to forecast and analyze agricultural machinery total power of Hei-longjiang Province .关键词
农业机械总动力/预测/时间序列/ARIMAKey words
agricultural machinery total power/forecast/time series/ARIMA分类
农业科技引用本文复制引用
汤岩,王福林,焦扬..黑龙江省农业机械总动力预测分析--基于 ARIMA 模型[J].农机化研究,2014,(2):44-47,4.基金项目
国家自然科学基金项目（31071331）；黑龙江省研究生创新科研项目 （）
