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十年来云贵两省水资源利用与经济发展脱钩关系研究

朱洪利 潘丽君 李巍 鱼京善 姚晓磊 孙文超 李占杰

南水北调与水利科技Issue(5):1-5,5.
南水北调与水利科技Issue(5):1-5,5.DOI:10.3724/SP.J.1201.2013.05001

十年来云贵两省水资源利用与经济发展脱钩关系研究

Decoupling Relationship Between Water Use and Economic Development in Yunnan and Guizhou Provinces during the First Ten Years of the Great Western Development Strategy

朱洪利 1潘丽君 1李巍 1鱼京善 2姚晓磊 2孙文超 2李占杰2

作者信息

  • 1. 北京师范大学 环境学院 环境模拟与污染控制国家重点联合实验室,北京 100875
  • 2. 北京师范大学 水科学研究院,北京 100875
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Based on a systematic summary of the studies on decoupling theory and relevant methods, the decoupling elast icity model was employed to investigate the decoupling relationships( DRs) between total water use( TWU) and provincial GDP, agri-cultural water use( AWU) and agricult ural added value( AAV ) , and industrial water use( IWU ) and industrial added value ( IAV) , respectively, which were used to analyze the dynamic relat ionship bet ween water use and economic developmentof Yun-nan and Guizhou Provinces from 2001 to 2010, the first ten years of the Great Western Development Strategy in China. The re-sults indicated that the overall DR between water use and economic development is highly undesirable in both of the two prov-inces. Specifical y, among the three groups of DRs, the DR of AWU was the worst with strong or weak coupling in half of the 10 years in the two provinces;the DR of IWU is slightly better with st rong coupling respectively in 3 of the 10 years in Yunnan and in 2 of the 10 years in Guizhou;while the DR of TWU is the best with strong or weak decoupling in 7 of the 10 years in the two provinces. The sloweconomic growth, lowwater use efficiency, and unreasonable water use structure were the main factors to cause the unfavorable decoupling relationships. The five-year based DR has been improved in the 11th FYP compared with that in the 10th FYP, which suggested the Great Western Development Strat egy plays a positive role in coordinating the relat ionship between water use and economic development.

关键词

水资源管理/脱钩关系/脱钩弹性/水资源/经济发展

Key words

w ater resources management/decoupling relationship/decoupling elasticity/wat er resources/economic development

分类

经济学

引用本文复制引用

朱洪利,潘丽君,李巍,鱼京善,姚晓磊,孙文超,李占杰..十年来云贵两省水资源利用与经济发展脱钩关系研究[J].南水北调与水利科技,2013,(5):1-5,5.

基金项目

环境保护部西部大开发重点区域和行业重大发展战略环境评价项目(1441302900002) (1441302900002)

南水北调与水利科技

OA北大核心CSCDCSTPCD

2096-8086

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