南水北调与水利科技Issue(2)：137-141,145,6.DOI:10.13476/j.cnki.nsbdqk.2014.02.032
气候变化对南水北调中线受水区径流量影响
Impact of Climate Change on the Intake Area Runoff in the Middle-Route of South-to-North Water Diversion Project
梁钟元 1王海潮 2雷晓辉3
作者信息
- 1. 南水北调工程设计管理中心，北京100038
- 2. 中国国际工程资询公司，北京100048
- 3. 中国水利水电科学研究院，北京100038
- 折叠
摘要
Abstract
Previous results showed that the temperature of the intake area in the Middle Route of South-to-North Water Diver-sion Project increases by about 1℃ in recent 50 years .In order to analyze the impact of climate change on the future water regu-lation quantity in the water source area of the South-to-North Water Diversion Project ,the paper investigated the impact of cli-mate change on the intake area runoff in the Middle Route of South-to-North Water Diversion Project using the WEP-L distrib-uted hydrological model based on the CMIP3 data of WCRP .The results are of an important significance for the study of water regulation quantity in the water source area during the operation of Middle-Route of South-to-North Water Diversion Project , provide a reliable method for the study of the impact of climate change on runoff ,and lay an important foundation for the analy-sis of the impact of climate change on hydrologic cycle .关键词
气候变化/CM IP3/WEP-L/南水北调中线受水区/径流量影响Key words
climate change/CMIP3/WEP-L/intake area in the Middle Route of South-to-North Water Diversion Project/runoff impact分类
水利科学引用本文复制引用
梁钟元,王海潮,雷晓辉..气候变化对南水北调中线受水区径流量影响[J].南水北调与水利科技,2014,(2):137-141,145,6.
