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物流业发展对产业结构优化的实证分析--基于空间面板杜宾模型

高秀丽 孟飞荣

热带地理Issue(6):703-710,8.
热带地理Issue(6):703-710,8.

物流业发展对产业结构优化的实证分析--基于空间面板杜宾模型

Effects of the Development of Modern Logistics Industry on the Optimization of Industrial Structure Based on the Spatial Panel Durbin Model

高秀丽 1孟飞荣1

作者信息

  • 1. 广东海洋大学 经济管理学院,广东 湛江 524088
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

At present, China is in a critical period of upgrading industrial structure and realizing the transformation of economic development patterns. As an important part of the tertiary industry, the logistics industry has a role of reducing the cost of economic operation effectively, improving operational efficiency and promoting the upgrade of industrial structure. In this paper the spatial dependency of rationalization of industrial structure and the optimization of industrial structure are tested, a spatial panel Durbin Model is built through introducing the spatial lag items of dependent variable and independent variable into the model. The impact of the development of logistics industry on the industrial structure optimization is analyzed from the aspects of rationalization of industrial structure and optimization of industrial structure, based on the thirty provinces panel data in China during 1997-2010. The results show that rationalization of industrial structure and optimization of industrial structure have significant positive spillover effect and there is an obvious difference among the eastern region, central region and western region of China. The development of modern logistics industry not only can significantly promote the process of the industrial structure optimization, but also promote the development of adjacent areas through the positive spillover effect. Finally, some relevant suggestions are put forward in this paper.

关键词

物流业/产业结构优化/空间面板杜宾模型/直接效应/间接效应

Key words

logistics industry/industrial structure optimization/spatial panel Durbin Model/direct effect/indirect effect

分类

管理科学

引用本文复制引用

高秀丽,孟飞荣..物流业发展对产业结构优化的实证分析--基于空间面板杜宾模型[J].热带地理,2013,(6):703-710,8.

基金项目

广东海洋大学校级资助项目 ()

热带地理

OA北大核心CSTPCD

1001-5221

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