热带地理Issue(6):711-719,9.
空港与中国城市经济增长:一个长期因果关系检验
Airport and Chinese City Economic Growth:An Examination of Long-Term Causality
摘要
Abstract
Based on the urban panel data of 35 metropolitan cities from 1997 to 2011, the paper provides an empirical analysis on the long-term causal relationship between airport and city economic growth. The result shows that there is a unilateral Granger causal-effect from the growth of air passenger to the urban economic growth in the 35 major cities. There is a unilateral Granger causal-effect from the growth of air passenger and air cargo to the urban economic growth in the municipalities and sub-provincial cities. Hub airport is the endogenous factor to city economic growth, promoting the long-term growth. But there is a unilateral Granger causal-effect from the urban economic growth to the growth of air passenger in other capital cities, the small airports just have short-term effect. The discrepancy of airports will make us use the new-classic growth theory or endogenous growth theory to comprehend the meaning of urban economic growth, and will intensify the city economic differentiation. The development of aviation network will have important influence on urban system. The long-term causality from city economic growth to air transport is not common, possibly indicates that the industrial structure of Chinese metropolitan cities don’t have strong dependence on airfreight transport. Considering the conditions of city development, the airport city will be the new engine of the urban economic growth in the future, if the governments could plan airports and layout related industries reasonably.关键词
空港/城市/经济增长/因果关系Key words
airport/city/economic growth/causality分类
管理科学引用本文复制引用
马亚华,杨凡..空港与中国城市经济增长:一个长期因果关系检验[J].热带地理,2013,(6):711-719,9.基金项目
国家软科学重大招标项目“全球创新资源转移及对我国影响研究”(2012GXS1D002);上海师范大学城市经济学重点学科项目 ()