人民黄河Issue(12)：47-49,53,4.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1000-1379.2013.12.016
黄河三角洲水资源承载力多目标优化计算
Multi-Objective Optimization Model of Water Resources Carrying Capacity in Yellow River Delta
摘要
Abstract
In order to promote the sustainable utilization of water resources in the Yellow River Delta,this paper established a multi-objective opti-mization model of water resources carrying capacity and obtained the largest population and economic society development scale supported by the wa-ter resources system under the basic schemes and water-saving schemes of 2010,2015 and 2020 respectively by calculating the carrying indexes of population,economy and crops of the study area. Meanwhile,this paper evaluated the relative status of water resources carrying capacity using the relative carrying index method. The results show that the study area is in a weak situation of overload as a whole in 2010;the water resources carry-ing capacity in 2015 and 2020 will be greatly improved due to the increase of efficacy coefficient of water use,the implementation of South-to-North Water Transfer Project and the wide use of unconventional water;the water resources carrying capacity of the water-saving scheme is bigger than the basic scheme,so water saving is an important measure to improve the water resources carrying capacity of the study area.关键词
水资源承载力/多目标优化模型/用水总量控制/相对承载指数法/黄河三角洲Key words
water resources carrying capacity/multi-objective optimization model/total water volume control/relative carrying index method/Yellow River Delta分类
建筑与水利引用本文复制引用
张欣,范明元,陈华伟,黄继文,刘海娇..黄河三角洲水资源承载力多目标优化计算[J].人民黄河,2013,(12):47-49,53,4.基金项目
水利部公益性行业科研专项（200801026）；中国科学院对外合作重点项目（GJHZ1016）。 （）
