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南疆地区气温变化及其对红枣产量的影响

韩会梅 李青 徐崇志

山东农业科学Issue(1):100-104,5.
山东农业科学Issue(1):100-104,5.

南疆地区气温变化及其对红枣产量的影响

Air Temperature Change in Southern Xinjiang and Its Influence on Jujube Yield

韩会梅 1李青 1徐崇志2

作者信息

  • 1. 塔里木大学经济与管理学院,新疆 阿拉尔 843300
  • 2. 塔里木大学植物科学学院,新疆 阿拉尔 843300
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Through analyzing the change trends of annual mean temperature and mean temperature at each growth stage of jujube in Aksu , Hotan and Kashgar , southern Xinjiang , from 1990 to 2011 , the effect of air temperature on yield and the contribution to yield change of jujube were studied .The annual mean temper-ature and the mean temperature at each growth stage of jujube in the 3 regions increased in the tested 22 years.The annual mean temperature and the mean temperature at sprout -anthesis and fruit enlargement -maturity periods were all significantly correlated to the yield of jujube , which indicated that air temperature rise was the major reason for increasing jujube yield .Empirical analysis of random effect model showed that the contribution rate of air temperature on jujube yield change was 7 .54%.The jujube yield increased by 9%~11 .7%with every 1℃increase of annual mean temperature .

关键词

南疆地区/气温变化/红枣产量/超越对数生产函数/随机效应模型

Key words

Southern Xinjiang/Air temperature change/Jujube yield/Translog production function/Random effect model

分类

农业科技

引用本文复制引用

韩会梅,李青,徐崇志..南疆地区气温变化及其对红枣产量的影响[J].山东农业科学,2014,(1):100-104,5.

基金项目

国家科技星火计划“新疆密植枣园高效栽培技术与示范阶段性成果” ()

山东农业科学

OACSTPCD

1001-4942

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