水利学报Issue(11)：1326-1332,7.
基于EPIC模型的云南元谋水稻春季旱灾风险评估方法
Study on the assessment method of spring drought risk for rice in Yuanmou county,Yunnan province based on the EPIC model
摘要
Abstract
Drought risk assessment is of great significance to reveal drought regularity and reduce drought losses. Taking Yuanmou county as the study area, the frequency of spring drought from 1961 to 2010 were calculated using copula function method. Similarly, the correlated drought losses under different irrigation level were calculated using EPIC model. Then it fitted the distribution curve of spring drought frequency and drought losses. The case study results indicate that there is the correlation of Logarithmic function be-tween drought frequency and drought losses, and the coefficient of determination is above 0.7. In addition, the effect of irrigation to reduce drought loss is significant. The distribution curve can quantitatively reflect the relation among drought frequency, irrigation level and drought loss, therefore, the method is applicable to the drought risk assessment in Yuanmou county,Yunnan province.关键词
风险评估/EPIC模型/干旱频率/旱灾损失/云南元谋Key words
risk assessment/EPIC model/drought frequency/drought loss/Yuanmou county分类
天文与地球科学引用本文复制引用
孙可可,陈进,许继军,武建军..基于EPIC模型的云南元谋水稻春季旱灾风险评估方法[J].水利学报,2013,(11):1326-1332,7.基金项目
国家自然科学基金面上项目（51179012）；水沙科学与水利水电工程国家重点实验室开放基金 （）
