水利学报Issue(12)：1389-1398,10.
基于图模型的流域上下游水质污染冲突研究
Research on the water pollution conflict between the upstream area and the downstream area in a river basin based on GMCR
摘要
Abstract
A graph model for the water pollution conflict between the upstream and the downstream regions in a river basin is established through identifying, analyzing and determining the decision makers, options, feasible states, allowable state transitions and uncertain preferences. The overall success of the third party intervention in the given conflict is analyzed and predicted under the framework of GMCR. According to four stability definitions (Nash, GMR, SMR, SEQ) and their four extensions (a, b, c, d), equilibriums under simple preference and uncertain preference are found and compared. The aims of the decision-mak-ing path analysis and status quo analysis are to predict the evolution paths of the whole conflict, verify the validity of the model and provide an important decision basis for policy makers. The results of the sensitivi-ty analysis show that the attitudes and preferences of the decision makers play a vital role in resolving con-flicts. Finally,the graph model established is applied to the study of the water pollution conflict in the Tai-hu Basin,and the analysis results coincide with the actual development of the conflict.关键词
图模型/不确定偏好/冲突分析/水质污染Key words
graph model/uncertain preference/conflict analysis/water pollution分类
资源环境引用本文复制引用
于晶,赵敏,孙冬营,董佳瑞..基于图模型的流域上下游水质污染冲突研究[J].水利学报,2013,(12):1389-1398,10.基金项目
江苏省研究生培养创新工程项目 （）
