中国科技投资Issue(31)：1-2,28,3.
基于灰色灾变理论GM（1,1）模型的宣威市干旱趋势分析
Drought Trend Analysis in Xuanwei Based on Gray, Catastrophe Theory GM(1,1)
王理萍 1王新华 1杨玲 1王福来 1赵德华2
作者信息
- 1. 云南农业大学水利水电与建筑学院
- 2. 宣威市文兴乡农业综合服务中心
- 折叠
摘要
Abstract
Based on the precipitation statistical dates from 1980 to 2012 in Xuanwei,the time distribution of drought in the region was an-alyzed.The gray catastrophe prediction model GM (1,1)was established,The forecast is credible through residual test and the back-check error method checking.Which can be used for drought and water supply prediction in Xuanwei area. The predictions show that there will be drought during 2014-2015 and 2019-2020.关键词
灰色灾变理论/GM(1,1)模型/干旱预测Key words
gray catastrophe theory/GM(1,1)model/drought prediction引用本文复制引用
王理萍,王新华,杨玲,王福来,赵德华..基于灰色灾变理论GM（1,1）模型的宣威市干旱趋势分析[J].中国科技投资,2013,(31):1-2,28,3.
