中国电机工程学报Issue(1)：15-21,7.DOI:10.13334/j.0258-8013.pcsee.2014.01.002
光伏发电系统可靠性分析及其置信容量计算
Reliability and Capacity Value Evaluation of Photovoltaic Generation Systems
摘要
Abstract
Large-scale grid-connected photovoltaic systems increase the uncertainty of power systems. Taking account of the timing and randomness characteristics of PV generation, through the sampling of weather types and the stratified sampling of equipments’ outage probability, this paper improves the model of PV system. The established model is applied to the reliability and capacity value evaluation of grid-connected PV systems. The author studies the impact of weather variations and equipment failure on the results. The study of the Golmud grid-connected PV system in Qinghai province shows that expanded power grid and dispersed PV power stations can help to enhance PV capacity.关键词
光伏发电系统/可靠性指标/置信容量/分层抽样/序贯蒙特卡洛法/线性插值法Key words
photovoltaic system/reliability index/capacity value/stratified sampling/sequential Monte Carlo method/linear interpolation method分类
信息技术与安全科学引用本文复制引用
王秀丽,武泽辰,曲翀..光伏发电系统可靠性分析及其置信容量计算[J].中国电机工程学报,2014,(1):15-21,7.基金项目
国家高技术研究发展计划资助项目(863计划)(2011AA 05A103)。@@@@The National High Technology Research and Development of China 863 Program (2011AA05A103) （863计划）
