现代农业科技Issue(8)：219-222,4.
气候变化对新疆区域水资源的影响评估
Assessment About the Impact of Climate Change on Water Resource in Xinjiang
摘要
Abstract
Water is not only the primary factor which influences the human survival ,but also the key factor which restricts and affects economic and social development and ecological environment protection in Xinjiang. Since 1950s ,flood frequency and disaster loss increased in Xinjiang.Extreme floods showed a trend of regional aggravated ,the southern region of Xinjiang was the most significant. With the aggravation of glacier retreat and meltwater increasing,blizzard disaster such as glacier flood,debris,snow avalanches and snow drift avalanche increased frequency and intensity.With the snow cover increasing in winter and the air temperature rising ,the disaster strength was enhancement. As the climate warming and humid in Xinjiang,most of riverrunoff increased in different degree. From spatial distribution,Tianshan Mountainous increased obviously,other regions rised in different degrees except the north Slope of Kunlun Mountainous which reduced slightly.Net amount of water vapor and water vapor conversion rate was no significant trend. Climate warming caused the annual runoff distribution more uneven ,spring and summer flood damage were more prominent ,the contradiction between supply and demand of water resources and flood threat aggravating.Therefore ,it should be keeped an eye on the water resource and disasters with the global climate change accelerating consistently ,and to strengthen the study of impact assessment and adaptation strategies of water resources,and to make the science and technology play a leading role in disaster reduction.关键词
气候变化/洪水灾害/冰川/径流/新疆Key words
climate change/flood disaster/glacier/runoff/Xinjiang分类
天文与地球科学引用本文复制引用
樊静,毛炜峄..气候变化对新疆区域水资源的影响评估[J].现代农业科技,2014,(8):219-222,4.基金项目
新疆气象局MS201402项目。 （）
